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Softwood Export Council Newsletter
November 2009
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Interbuild 2009 Trade Show |
by Eddie Pearce: American Softwoods
exhibited in Interbuild 2009 trade show in
Birmingham UK. Interbuild is the largest show in
the UK for the building and construction
industries.
Despite the lower participants from both
visitors and exhibitors, the American Softwoods
stand received a good level of visitors and a
number of good quality contacts were made. About
800 items of product information were given out
during the period of the show. It was
interesting to note that a fair number enquiries
were received for U.S. plywood panel products.
During the period of the show opportunity was
taken to have discussion with a number other
exhibitors. It was clear from those discussions
that the opinion was that Interbuild had lost
its benefit for the timber industry and that a
more appropriate show for the timber industry
would be "Eco-Build" which is held in London. It
is the general view that this show is more
appropriate because it targets more directly the
house builder and their needs to build the new
generation of houses. This show, which began in
2005, has grown each year it has been held. |
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Japan Market Update
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By Edward Matsuyama
Housing
Starts Decline 37.0 Percent in September
2009
Housing starts continue to struggle and have
not exceeded 70,000 units
for 8 consecutive months. At this pace,
starts will likely dip below
800,000 units in 2009. Comparatively,
housing starts in 2008 never
declined below 80,000 units in any given
month.
New starts declined to 61,181 units (-37.0%)
in September 2009, marking
ten consecutive months of decline.
Although most people are suggesting
that the worst is over, the number of
potential customers visiting
housing display parks has recently declined.
This suggests that a
substantial increase in the short-term is
unlikely.
On the bright side, the new ruling
Democratic party is considering an
increase in the exemption on inheritance tax
for children from 6.1
million (US$67,000) to 21.1 million yen
(US$234,000). If implemented,
this would stimulate home ownership amongst
first time buyers.
Wooden starts were down 19.5 percent to
36,410 units, 2x4 starts
declined 18.4 percent to 7,638 units, post
and beam starts were down
20.2 percent to 36,410 units and wooden
prefab declined 23.2 percent to
1,212 units. The seasonally adjusted
annual housing starts were
699,000 units and the share of wooden
housing starts was 59.5 percent of
total starts in September 2009.
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Turkey Softwood Market Update
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Forest products
& wood processing
Turkey has a very substantial and growing wood
products sector, around half of which is
comprised of producers of raw materials -
lumber, veneer, wood-based panels, components
etc., while the other half comprises producers
of finished products - furniture, flooring and
interior joinery. The sector includes many
thousands of small firms and cottage-type
workshops, as well as large-scale, fully
mechanised manufacturers. As a result, it is
almost impossible to gauge the exact size of the
sector, but it is estimated that it accounts for
some 4% of all manufactured goods in Turkey.
Overall, there are some 44,000 enterprises
operating within the sector. Of these, around
200 can be classed as medium-sized companies
(100-150 workers) and large-sized companies (150
plus workers).
Turkey is estimated to have around 22 million
hectares of forest, of which around half is
softwood and half is hardwood. Turkey produces
an average of around 7 million m3 of industrial
roundwood per year, of which the majority is
hardwood, making it the third largest producer
of hardwood in the region after Russia and
Romania. However, unlike Romania and many other
Eastern European countries, the Turkish forest
resource is of a relatively low value and it has
very low potential to supply high quality saw
and veneer logs.
Softwood lumber:
The table below shows Turkish imports of
softwood lumber in 2007 and 2008 and in the
first eight months of 2008-2009, by main
supplying country and by volume. In addition to
domestic production of softwood lumber (c. 4.0
million m3 in 2008), Turkey imported some
553,000 m3 of softwood lumber last year from a
wide range of supply countries. The main
supplier was Russia, while lumber was also
imported from Ukraine, Romania and a range of
other Balkan and European nations. Russia's
exports of softwood lumber to Turkey peaked in
2008 and this can be partially attributed to the
aforementioned log export tax. Imports of
softwood lumber in to Turkey in the first eight
months of this year have shown a significant
decrease on the previous year, falling by 47.6%
over the same period in 2008. This is a direct
result of the recession and the resultant slow
down both the construction and interiors
sectors.
There were no direct imports of softwood lumber
from the United States last year and just 220 m3
were imported in 2007, accounted for by southern
pine. So far in the January to August period of
2009, just 142 m3 of softwood lumber were
imported from the United States and this was
accounted for by various pine species.
Turkey is also an exporter of softwood lumber
and, in 2008, shipped some 20,000 m3 to Cyprus,
Jordan, Iraq and a number of North African and
Middle Eastern destinations, as well as CIS
countries.
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Supplying country |
Jan - Dec (m3) |
Jan - Aug (m3) |
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2007 |
2008 |
% change |
2008 |
2009 |
% change |
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Russia |
285,394 |
314,833 |
10.32 |
239,161 |
83,287 |
- 65.18 |
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Ukraine |
168,393 |
115,348 |
- 31.50 |
87,251 |
71,441 |
- 18.12 |
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Romania |
21,661 |
56,076 |
158.88 |
39,309 |
26,997 |
- 31.32 |
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Germany |
25,642 |
25,300 |
- 1.33 |
19,000 |
2,798 |
- 85.27 |
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Austria |
0 |
16,495 |
n/a |
8,602 |
9,461 |
9.99 |
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Georgia |
5,931 |
9,599 |
61.84 |
7,956 |
9,255 |
16.33 |
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Czech Republic |
89 |
5,759 |
6,370.79 |
2,252 |
1,277 |
- 43.29 |
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Sweden |
0 |
5,471 |
n/a |
3,784 |
2,272 |
- 39.96 |
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Bulgaria |
5,288 |
2,061 |
- 61.02 |
1,398 |
4,986 |
256.65 |
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All others |
1,865 |
1,976 |
5.95 |
1,288 |
2,907 |
125.70 |
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Total |
514,263 |
552,918 |
7.52 |
410,001 |
214,681 |
- 47.64 |
Source: Global Trade Atlas, USDA FAS
Furniture
It is
estimated that there are 30,000 companies
manufacturing furniture and interior products in
Turkey, employing around 260,000 people. If
furniture side products are also taken into
consideration, the number employed by this
sector rises to 2 million. The vast majority of
these companies are very small, specialised
cottage-style operations. However, according to
data supplied by the Union of Chambers of
Commerce and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB),
around 40 furniture manufacturers in the country
employ more than 250 people, with a further 155
companies employing more than 100. The furniture
industry in Turkey is fairly spread out,
although there are pockets of concentration in a
number of towns and cities, with the largest
centres found in Istanbul, Ankara, Bursa-Inegol
and Izmir. Taken together, the estimated output
of the furniture industry exceeds $10 billion,
and wood furniture represents approximately 40%
of the total. The main species used in solid
wood furniture are ash, beech, oak, pine,
lime/linden (European) and mahogany (African).
In veneered furniture, oak, beech, walnut and
mahogany are commonly used.
Turkish furniture factories use the latest
manufacturing technologies, in line with world
standards. For the past twenty years, the use of
advanced technology and CNC benches has become
standard. High quality, export grade products
are produced and quality control runs all the
way from raw material choice to the final
packaged product. Most manufacturers have
obtained ISO9000 certificates and comply with
other international quality standards.
Production of furniture has risen sharply
during the last five years, due to high levels
of construction in Turkey, as well as increasing
export demand. In fact, Turkey is a net exporter
of furniture and exports of all furniture types
reached $1.3 billion in 2008, rising from $435
million in 2003. The leading export destinations
for Turkish manufactured wooden furniture in
order are Germany, Iraq, France, Iran, Greece,
the UK, Netherlands, Romania, Azerbaijan and
Russia. However, Turkey exports furniture to
over 160 countries in total. The growing
importance of European markets for Turkish
furniture exports is leading to increased
interest by Turkish manufacturers in certified
wood, and once again, this illustrates the
ripple effects of the growing "green
procurement" movement beyond the borders of the
main European implementing countries.
Unsurprisingly, the Turkish furniture sector has
been affected by the global economic downturn,
with reduced domestic and export demand leading
to lower production and exports during this
year. In fact, there was a 20% reduction in
exports of Turkish furniture in January of this
year, as compared to the same month in 2008.
However, it is widely anticipated that this
downturn is not the beginning of a long term
trend and that production and exports will pick
up fairly quickly, as both the Turkish and world
economy recovers. Turkish furniture
manufacturers are also able to benefit from
their large presence in Middle Eastern markets,
which, for the most part, have escaped the wider
effects of the economic downturn.
Construction
In
2008, the Turkish construction sector slowed
down considerably, after reaching growth rates
of 20% per annum since 2002. It reached a total
growth level of 45% between 2002 and 2006, but
began to slow down in 2007 to a rate of 5.7% and
continued to contract in 2008. By this time, its
share of the GNP had declined to 5.9%, although
it still was the fourth largest sector of the
economy after services, manufacturing and
agriculture. Although heavily affected by the
global financial crisis in 2008-09, a total of
23 Turkish construction/contracting companies
were identified in the 'Top International
Contractors List' of 225 prepared by the global
industry publication Engineering News-Record.
It added that this makes the Turkish
construction/contracting industry the world's
third largest, ranking behind those of USA and
China.
According to figures provided by the Turkish
Contractors Association, the value of projects
undertaken abroad increased 15 times for the
last six years, starting from US$1.2 billion in
2002. It increased to US$19.5 billion in 2007
and US$23.6 billion in 2008, with total
completed projects, in 55 different countries,
worth over US$100 billion.
The development of the construction industry has
resulted in a large and diversified product
range of building materials, a dynamic and
respectable contracting services sector and a
well-established construction and mining
industry. The Turkish market for building
materials accounts for 10% of the total
construction industry and 80% of building
materials are locally produced, including
cement, steel, wood products, bricks, PVC,
polyethylene, glass, ceramic tiles and sanitary
ware.
In
2008, the total value of imports of building
materials into Turkey was around $6 billion.
Imports have grown 20% over the past few years,
with the main supplying countries remaining
Germany, Italy, France, Bulgaria, Russia and
USA. Some products imported into Turkey are
re-exported into Central Asian countries,
Russia, the Middle East and the Balkans.
The
construction sector was the main driver of
growth in Turkey prior to the global credit
crunch, but demand for 900,000 to one million
housing units annually through 2015 still
exists, and the public and private sector is
utilising this slowdown period for research and
development work, while looking for cost and
time efficiency solutions. Also, in the private
sector, there are still high-end major
residential and shopping mall developments on
the drawing board especially in Istanbul.
Since
energy is so high on the agenda there is also a
huge demand for energy efficient solutions in
general, which could provide a significant
opportunity area for US forest products
exporters companies who can offer such solutions
and products. Turkey's construction industry is
rather self-sufficient, but opportunities in
specialty markets such as accessories, flooring,
prefabricated wall panels, paint raw materials,
insulations and plumbing fixtures exist for
third country suppliers. There are also good
opportunities for building products,
particularly those of more sophisticated
technology, 'finished' products of high quality,
interior 'finishing' materials, building systems
and also specialist building products imported
in component form and assembled in country.
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Upcoming Trade shows and Seminars |
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November
- Japan Home and Building Show November
11-13, Tokyo
- Big 5 Construction show November 23-26,
Dubai
December
-
JLIA mission
December 8-9, 2009, Tokyo
-
SEC Annual Board Meeting, December 15,
Tacoma
January
- Expo
Moboliario, Janurary 23-25, Mexico City
March
~www.softwood.org/calender
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Softwood Export Council-
Promoting the expansion of export markets
for primary and secondary softwood products
manufactured in the United States.
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Softwood Export
Council Phone: 503-620-5946
PO Box
80517 Fax:
503-684-8928
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1998-2010 Softwood Export
Council (SEC)
PO Box 80517 Portland, Oregon 97280 USA
Telephone: 1-503-620-5946 Fax: 1-503-684-8928
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