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Softwood Export Council Newsletter
 
November 2009
In This Issue
Interbuild
Japan housing
Turkey market update
Upcoming Trade Shows
Quick Links
 
Interbuild 2009 Trade Show
 interbuild
 
by Eddie Pearce:   American Softwoods exhibited in Interbuild 2009 trade show in Birmingham UK. Interbuild is the largest show in the UK for the building and construction industries.

Despite the lower participants from both visitors and exhibitors, the American Softwoods stand received a good level of visitors and a number of good quality contacts were made. About 800 items of product information were given out during the period of the show.  It was interesting to note that a fair number enquiries were received for U.S. plywood panel products.

During the period of the show opportunity was taken to have discussion with a number other exhibitors. It was clear from those discussions that the opinion was that Interbuild had lost its benefit for the timber industry and that a more appropriate show for the timber industry would be "Eco-Build" which is held in London. It is the general view that this show is more appropriate because it targets more directly the house builder and their needs to build the new generation of houses. This show, which began in 2005, has grown each year it has been held.
 
Japan Market Update
 
By Edward Matsuyama
 
Housing Starts Decline 37.0 Percent in September 2009
Housing starts continue to struggle and have not exceeded 70,000 units
for 8 consecutive months.  At this pace, starts will likely dip below
800,000 units in 2009.  Comparatively, housing starts in 2008 never
declined below 80,000 units in any given month.

New starts declined to 61,181 units (-37.0%) in September 2009, marking
ten consecutive months of decline.   Although most people are suggesting
that the worst is over, the number of potential customers visiting
housing display parks has recently declined.  This suggests that a
substantial increase in the short-term is unlikely.

On the bright side, the new ruling Democratic party is considering an
increase in the exemption on inheritance tax for children from 6.1
million (US$67,000) to 21.1 million yen (US$234,000).  If implemented,
this would stimulate home ownership amongst first time buyers.

Wooden starts were down 19.5 percent to 36,410 units, 2x4 starts
declined 18.4 percent to 7,638 units, post and beam starts were down
20.2 percent to 36,410 units and wooden prefab declined 23.2 percent to
1,212 units.   The seasonally adjusted annual housing starts were
699,000 units and the share of wooden housing starts was 59.5 percent of
total starts in September 2009. 

 
Turkey Softwood Market Update
 
Forest products & wood processing
Turkey has a very substantial and growing wood products sector, around half of which is comprised of producers of raw materials - lumber, veneer, wood-based panels, components etc., while the other half comprises producers of finished products - furniture, flooring and interior joinery. The sector includes many thousands of small firms and cottage-type workshops, as well as large-scale, fully mechanised manufacturers. As a result, it is almost impossible to gauge the exact size of the sector, but it is estimated that it accounts for some 4% of all manufactured goods in Turkey. Overall, there are some 44,000 enterprises operating within the sector. Of these, around 200 can be classed as medium-sized companies (100-150 workers) and large-sized companies (150 plus workers).
 
Turkey is estimated to have around 22 million hectares of forest, of which around half is softwood and half is hardwood.  Turkey produces an average of around 7 million m3 of industrial roundwood per year, of which the majority is hardwood, making it the third largest producer of hardwood in the region after Russia and Romania. However, unlike Romania and many other Eastern European countries, the Turkish forest resource is of a relatively low value and it has very low potential to supply high quality saw and veneer logs.

Softwood lumber: The table below shows Turkish imports of softwood lumber in 2007 and 2008 and in the first eight months of 2008-2009, by main supplying country and by volume. In addition to domestic production of softwood lumber (c. 4.0 million m3 in 2008), Turkey imported some 553,000 m3 of softwood lumber last year from a wide range of supply countries. The main supplier was Russia, while lumber was also imported from Ukraine, Romania and a range of other Balkan and European nations. Russia's exports of softwood lumber to Turkey peaked in 2008 and this can be partially attributed to the aforementioned log export tax. Imports of softwood lumber in to Turkey in the first eight months of this year have shown a significant decrease on the previous year, falling by 47.6% over the same period in 2008. This is a direct result of the recession and the resultant slow down both the construction and interiors sectors.
 
There were no direct imports of softwood lumber from the United States last year and just 220 m3 were imported in 2007, accounted for by southern pine. So far in the January to August period of 2009, just 142 m3 of softwood lumber were imported from the United States and this was accounted for by various pine species.
 
Turkey is also an exporter of softwood lumber and, in 2008, shipped some 20,000 m3 to Cyprus, Jordan, Iraq and a number of North African and Middle Eastern destinations, as well as CIS countries.
 

Supplying country

Jan - Dec (m3)

Jan - Aug (m3)

2007

2008

% change

2008

2009

% change

Russia

285,394

314,833

  10.32

239,161

83,287

 - 65.18

Ukraine

168,393

115,348

 - 31.50

87,251

71,441

 - 18.12

Romania

21,661

56,076

  158.88

39,309

26,997

 - 31.32

Germany

25,642

25,300

 - 1.33

19,000

2,798

 - 85.27

Austria

0

16,495

n/a

8,602

9,461

  9.99

Georgia

5,931

9,599

  61.84

7,956

9,255

  16.33

Czech Republic

89

5,759

  6,370.79

2,252

1,277

 - 43.29

Sweden

0

5,471

n/a

3,784

2,272

 - 39.96

Bulgaria

5,288

2,061

 - 61.02

1,398

4,986

  256.65

All others

1,865

1,976

5.95

1,288

2,907

125.70

Total

514,263

552,918

  7.52

410,001

214,681

 - 47.64

Source: Global Trade Atlas, USDA FAS

Furniture

It is estimated that there are 30,000 companies manufacturing furniture and interior products in Turkey, employing around 260,000 people. If furniture side products are also taken into consideration, the number employed by this sector rises to 2 million. The vast majority of these companies are very small, specialised cottage-style operations.  However, according to data supplied by the Union of Chambers of Commerce and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB), around 40 furniture manufacturers in the country employ more than 250 people, with a further 155 companies employing more than 100. The furniture industry in Turkey is fairly spread out, although there are pockets of concentration in a number of towns and cities, with the largest centres found in Istanbul, Ankara, Bursa-Inegol and Izmir. Taken together, the estimated output of the furniture industry exceeds $10 billion, and wood furniture represents approximately 40% of the total. The main species used in solid wood furniture are ash, beech, oak, pine, lime/linden (European) and mahogany (African). In veneered furniture, oak, beech, walnut and mahogany are commonly used.

Turkish furniture factories use the latest manufacturing technologies, in line with world standards. For the past twenty years, the use of advanced technology and CNC benches has become standard. High quality, export grade products are produced and quality control runs all the way from raw material choice to the final packaged product. Most manufacturers have obtained ISO9000 certificates and comply with other international quality standards.

 Production of furniture has risen sharply during the last five years, due to high levels of construction in Turkey, as well as increasing export demand. In fact, Turkey is a net exporter of furniture and exports of all furniture types reached $1.3 billion in 2008, rising from $435 million in 2003. The leading export destinations for Turkish manufactured wooden furniture in order are Germany, Iraq, France, Iran, Greece, the UK, Netherlands, Romania, Azerbaijan and Russia. However, Turkey exports furniture to over 160 countries in total. The growing importance of European markets for Turkish furniture exports is leading to increased interest by Turkish manufacturers in certified wood, and once again, this illustrates the ripple effects of the growing "green procurement" movement beyond the borders of the main European implementing countries.

Unsurprisingly, the Turkish furniture sector has been affected by the global economic downturn, with reduced domestic and export demand leading to lower production and exports during this year. In fact, there was a 20% reduction in exports of Turkish furniture in January of this year, as compared to the same month in 2008. However, it is widely anticipated that this downturn is not the beginning of a long term trend and that production and exports will pick up fairly quickly, as both the Turkish and world economy recovers. Turkish furniture manufacturers are also able to benefit from their large presence in Middle Eastern markets, which, for the most part, have escaped the wider effects of the economic downturn.

Construction

In 2008, the Turkish construction sector slowed down considerably, after reaching growth rates of 20% per annum since 2002. It reached a total growth level of 45% between 2002 and 2006, but began to slow down in 2007 to a rate of 5.7% and continued to contract in 2008. By this time, its share of the GNP had declined to 5.9%, although it still was the fourth largest sector of the economy after services, manufacturing and agriculture. Although heavily affected by the global financial crisis in 2008-09, a total of 23 Turkish construction/contracting companies were identified in the 'Top International Contractors List' of 225 prepared by the global industry publication Engineering News-Record. It added that this makes the Turkish construction/contracting industry the world's third largest, ranking behind those of USA and China.

According to figures provided by the Turkish Contractors Association, the value of projects undertaken abroad increased 15 times for the last six years, starting from US$1.2 billion in 2002. It increased to US$19.5 billion in 2007 and US$23.6 billion in 2008, with total completed projects, in 55 different countries, worth over US$100 billion.

The development of the construction industry has resulted in a large and diversified product range of building materials, a dynamic and respectable contracting services sector and a well-established construction and mining industry. The Turkish market for building materials accounts for 10% of the total construction industry and 80% of building materials are locally produced, including cement, steel, wood products, bricks, PVC, polyethylene, glass, ceramic tiles and sanitary ware.

 In 2008, the total value of imports of building materials into Turkey was around $6 billion. Imports have grown 20% over the past few years, with the main supplying countries remaining Germany, Italy, France, Bulgaria, Russia and USA. Some products imported into Turkey are re-exported into Central Asian countries, Russia, the Middle East and the Balkans.

The construction sector was the main driver of growth in Turkey prior to the global credit crunch, but demand for 900,000 to one million housing units annually through 2015 still exists, and the public and private sector is utilising this slowdown period for research and development work, while looking for cost and time efficiency solutions. Also, in the private sector, there are still high-end major residential and shopping mall developments on the drawing board especially in Istanbul.

Since energy is so high on the agenda there is also a huge demand for energy efficient solutions in general, which could provide a significant opportunity area for US forest products exporters companies who can offer such solutions and products. Turkey's construction industry is rather self-sufficient, but opportunities in specialty markets such as accessories, flooring, prefabricated wall panels, paint raw materials, insulations and plumbing fixtures exist for third country suppliers. There are also good opportunities for building products, particularly those of more sophisticated technology, 'finished' products of high quality, interior 'finishing' materials, building systems and also specialist building products imported in component form and assembled in country.



 
Upcoming Trade shows and Seminars
November
  • Japan Home and Building Show November 11-13, Tokyo
  • Big 5 Construction show November 23-26, Dubai
December
  • JLIA mission December 8-9, 2009, Tokyo
  • SEC Annual Board Meeting, December 15, Tacoma
January
  • Expo Moboliario,  Janurary 23-25,  Mexico City
March
  •   IndiaWood 2010 March 4-8 Bangalore 
  • A+C Show , March 9-12 Tokyo
  • Interzum China, March 27-30 Guangzhou


~www.softwood.org/calender

 
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